Showing posts with label Electoral Vote. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Electoral Vote. Show all posts

Friday, January 18, 2013

Redmap: Republican Plan to Win 2016 (Even if They Don't Get More Votes)

I don't usually run two posts in a row from the same source, but frankly, this topic is important. And to be honest, a clip from The Rachel Maddow Show is probably the easiest-to-swallow way to take your medicine, if you haven't heard of this issue. Rachel has a way of distilling a lecture into something you want to learn. And this one is a doozy. [Story continues below]


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If you didn't know, the Republican victory in the House of Representatives in the 2012 election was achieved by gerrymander. More people voted for Democratic candidates total, but because of the hinky way that Congressional districts are drawn up, more Republicans were elected. This rubs me the wrong way, but is semi-tolerable, because by district, the Republican actually did win. The quarrel is only with how the districts are drawn. But, given the GOP desire to turn several "blue" states into "red" states--by changing the way electoral votes are divided--gives me more pause. With that scheme, the district gets the spoils, and ends in a result where the statewide winner can lose huge chunks of electoral votes even though he/she carried the state.

The fact of the matter is, had this scheme been in place in 2012, Mitt Romney would be getting inaugurated this weekend, despite losing by millions of votes. This sort of scheming could only be done by a party that doesn't care what voters think. It can only be done by a party that puts winning and power ahead of the wants, needs and desires of the American people. My question is this: do American conservatives and Republicans care? Or are they also willing to "win" at any cost, even if they really lost? Any conservatives want to tell me (Dan?). 

Saturday, November 1, 2008

3 Days to Go: The Electoral Vote Right Now

With three days to go, despite talks of a resurgence for John McCain (mostly on FOX "News" and the right-wing blogs), the future looks bright for Barack Obama. But we Democrats, liberals and progressives have been burned before, and most of us are avoiding the "L"-word (landslide) like the plague. Apparently, without realizing it, we're a bunch of superstitious individuals who believe we're gonna jinx it, or something.

So, no matter what happens, we're all going to feel foolish on November 5th. If Obama wins, we'll feel foolish for ever having been so worried. If McCain pulls off an upset, we'll feel foolish for believing we had it in the bag--in addition to a laundry list of extremely negative emotions. As a long-time cynic and pessimist, I'll do what I always do: hope for the best, but try to be prepared for the worst.

Still, the latest poll aggregators are very encouraging. Take a look.







Sources: Pollster.com, FiveThirtyEight.com, RealClearPolitics.com, Electoral-Vote.com

Sunday, October 5, 2008

Obama Wins on Karl Rove's Own Electoral Map


Photo from source, Politico

Something peculiar has happened to Karl Rove. The FOX "News" commentator (and, in a conflict of interest, John McCain advisor) usually seizes upon any crumb, any tidbit of any story in order to boost Republicans, and attack Democrats. But this morning's edition of FOX "News" Sunday, was uncharacteristically--um--honest?

I don't know what to call it, because I know that even when Rove sounds forthright, he's up to something. But his electoral map of the United States, made from scrutinizing polls from all over the country, shows Barack Obama decidedly ahead. Like way, way ahead.

This threw me for a bit of a loop, because if what Rove says is true (and I suspect it is), it would be more in character for him to simply ignore the map altogether, and spin in another direction. Is he putting it up to scare FOX's heavily "Republican base" audience? And what was his bit at the end about voters in Clark County, Nevada (home of Las Vegas, and well, me) who don't exist? I live here, and I've never heard that.

"Voter fraud" is a common GOP bogeyman, alleging that there are people voting who shouldn't be, spurred by Democrats, in order to throw elections. Trouble is, how ever many dead, illegal or ficticious "voters" there are alleged to be, they pale in comparison to the legitimate voters that Republicans are attempting to scub off the rolls, or otherwise disenfranchise.

EDITOR'S NOTE: Check out BradBlog for details on vote suppression.

[Excerpt]

Obama clinches on Rove map

With 30 days until Nov. 4, Karl Rove projects that Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) would get at least 273 electoral votes – three more than are needed to win – if the presidential election were held today.But Rove warns that this race is “susceptible to rapid changes,” so no definite prediction is possible. . .

Read more at: Politico

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