Monday, November 24, 2008

Coleman Leads Franken in Minnesota; Sort Of


Image from MinnPost

The recount in Minnesota has helped drag out the 2008 elections, so that we political junkies haven't had to go cold turkey (mmmmm, turkey). It is annoyingly slow though. And the totals have been both disheartening to this Al Franken fan, and a bit misleading. The totals as they stand show Norm Coleman ahead. But that's disallowing all of the "challenged" ballots. And Coleman has challenged some pretty hinky ballots. Franken has too, but not to the same degree.

Anyway, what is going to happen, after the finished recount is tabulated, is that Coleman will apparently be the winner. And he will likely make a very big deal about that. But we really won't know until the challenged ballots are factored back in. There, it is possible that Franken actually wins, but probably not by much. This will let Coleman thump his chest, and say that Franken has tried to steal the election. Either way, I'm bettin' it ain't gonna be pretty.

[Excerpt]


The nightly, 8 PM update from the Minnesota Secretary of State now shows Norm Coleman with a nominal lead of 172 votes over Al Franken. According to the state's accounting, Franken has gained 43 votes on Coleman since the recount process began. However, the high number of challenges on both sides probably obscures any true movement in the vote counts. . .

Read more at: FiveThirtyEight.com


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