There have been a lot of people predicting the electoral map for the fall election, using pretty much the same logic that has applied in the past. But I wonder if they're making a big mistake in the math.
Sure, if you poll 500 Democrats and 500 Republicans on their choices, you're going to get something only slightly different than 50%. But what if many, many more from one party show up to vote? With my fingers crossed, and my cynicism battened down, I'm hoping that will be exactly the scenario that plays out this fall. And if this (very slickly produced) video of the Texas Democratic Convention is an indicator, we might just see a bunch of Republican "safe states" unexpectedly turning blue!
Found at: Democratic Underground